The fear has returned with the deadly combination of pandemic policies and a cruel variant. The good news is that if enough people took the shots, we could reduce the damage to something manageable. The other good news is progress on Trump’s twin problems and social media. In both cases, something like balanced rationality is seeping into public discourse.
First is the former president, who has already done all the damage he could. Joe Biden is doing a good job of getting Congress to some degree of productivity. As the gang talks about this and the next episode, it seems increasingly likely that there will be a bipartisan infrastructure bill. Republicans and, in particular, Mitch McConnell can still shut everything down, but Democrats see the budget reconciliation process as a hand card to push a semi-party bill across the two parties. Biden’s strategy is not only to force the right to accommodate some central victory, but also to avoid a significant downfall of centrist Democrat Joe Manchin in the filibuster. This may have some value if Congress sets foot in voting rights or works to destroy them.
Something similar may be happening in the social aspect. Facebook and Twitter appear to be circling as Congress imposes antitrust stance. With the courts giving Facebook a bit of headroom to execute the operational description of what a monopoly is, Twitter reported strong figures that outperformed the high street and make Jack Dorsey’s feint towards bitcoin and the creator’s economy easier to do. swallow when the smoke clears. Media newslettering is giving social media some street cred as Congress tries to force Facebook to grow. Blocking an MGM deal here and a Section 530 split there seems possible, though it’s more likely just the beginning of negotiations.
The big battle is over the shape of post-COVID work and lifestyle negotiations. Vaccination reluctance is a five-alarm blaze, but the 2022 midterm elections may well be contested for the intersection of climate change and the speed of recovery led by the accelerating digital economy. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that return to work and a manageable ecology are deeply related. Silicon Valley can talk all it wants about inventing the future, but desperate consumers are looking for real answers from tech leaders who understand the future looming in a constantly unstable climate crisis that turns a burning west coast into a suffocating rest of the country. .
Vaccine mandates are a fierce predictor of what is to come. In a country under constant threat of a constitutional crisis from electoral fraud by one of the two main parties, the federal response may be limited, but not the rules at the workforce level. These are serious privacy and human rights issues, but in the short term moves toward practical mandates will be swift at the state and corporate level, and backed by healthy polls. Do you think that some version of work from anywhere will be linked to double vaccination? As a mandate, it is not a done deal; As an option, it seems like a popular way to reduce the current 35% crisis to something approaching a too high but winter-ready time frame of 15%, where hospitals and state economies need help, red or blue. And those numbers can become the difference between a major crisis and devastating economic lockdowns if an even more egregious variant emerges.
This is also where social and security meet at a crossroads. Are we willing to give up an unhindered Facebook to feed the scourge of disinformation, or will we seek help from the creative economy to bypass the mainstream media fallow caught up in their controversy-driven business model rather than a science-based approach. in deeds to break the back of this turgid political cycle? We can see the schematic of social media courage framed in a newsletter, along with stakeholder conscious ethical values and economic leverage.
Less obvious is the path for Clubhouse and its competitors. The Andreessen Horowitz-endorsed mobile app came out of invite-only beta, adding an internal IM layer for managing moderators, speakers, listener questions, room onboarding, and comments. But the big problem remains why this mere feature of a live streaming podcast app reinforces the startup’s high valuation. And this from Michael Markman:
I’ve largely lost interest in the Clubhouse. This may not be a significant piece of information, but I am no longer fascinated…. The thing is, sometimes I find myself in rooms where I was learning something or getting insights that hadn’t occurred to me. But for the most part I would overhear very frustrating conversations that led nowhere.
Yes, that would. But the biggest problem is the refusal to allow recording as a user interface feature. Twitter Spaces won’t, Facebook really is a winner-take-all (Substack) grafted in, Facebook is really a newsletter subscriber model, and Spotify already has recording enabled in Anchor, its podcasting tool. Building an app is probably where Spotify will go, but then they have the problem that podcasting is considered just an audio product. So what? Add cross-platform video streaming like ReStream to hybrid audio / podcast / recorder / social newsletter and we get something. What is the support?
Neither recording began as a nod to privacy, a differentiator between creators and listeners. The idea was to create a unique quality of serendipity, discovery and credibility. It is reminiscent of the fourth wall of the theater, where the characters step out of their circumstances to speak directly to the audience. It is exhilarating to experiment, a hybrid between writing and improvisation that is largely an illusion. Illusions are no less valuable just because they gracefully transcend their apparent limits. Clubhouse spoke directly to our feeling that we had been lost in the insidious virus of both science and truth.
In the decline of the Clubhouse model, we felt that the creator’s economy is all hat and not enough cowboy. Brent Leary:
I see this as another way to speed up a few getting most of everything and everyone else getting messages for the notepad. You’re going to hear all these stories about all the people, all the people who succeed, but they are going to be like an infinitesimal fraction of everyone else who tries to do the same and can’t do it.
There is so much attention you can pay. And the people who know how to use these things and put together a good process and find a way to really create a well-oiled process machine; they have the opportunity to be in that upper echelon of creators who make the most of the money. But everyone else will be there trying and spinning their wheels because it’s just a continuation of what we’ve always had.
The recording and a calendar page will make a difference if only to bring a vote to the floor. Is this something to look forward to, a social version of Andrea Mitchell or Nicolle Wallace on MSNBC, a registry system for issues that matter anywhere, in the economies of creators or thought leaders? Markman’s question on the viability of the clubhouse is broader coverage against the tendency of social media to increase problems rather than alleviate them. Recording is really a time-changing tool for user control and a booster for leaderboard metadata to jot down a calendar, either live or personally maintained. In theory, Clubhouse should work, but in practice, without recording, it could be labeled another conference without doing anything.
from the Gillmor Gang Newsletter
Gillmor’s band: Frank Radice, Michael Markman, Keith Teare, Denis Pombriant, Brent Leary and Steve Gillmor. Recorded live on Friday, July 16, 2021.
Produced and directed by Tina Chase Gillmor @tinagillmor
@fradice, @mickeleh, @denispombriant, @kteare, @brentleary, @stevegillmor, @gillmorgang